CIVETS: The Newest Acronym on the Block
We’ve all heard the phrase “green is the new black,” but what about “CIVETS as the new BRIC?” Unlikely. Until now.
According to a recent Wall Street Journal article, the so-called CIVETS group of countries—Colombia, Indonesia, Vietnam, Egypt, Turkey and South Africa—are being touted as the next generation of “tiger economies.” But why?
- These nations all have large, young populations with an average age of 27. This means these countries will benefit from fast-rising domestic consumption.
- They also are all fast-growing, relatively diverse economies, meaning they shouldn’t be as heavily dependent on external demand as the BRICs.
- HSBC Global Asset Management points to rising levels of foreign direct investment across the grouping, low levels of public debt—except for Turkey—and sovereign credit ratings moving toward investment grade.
However, critics say CIVETS countries have nothing in common beyond their youthful populations. They also say, liquidity and corporate governance are patchy and political risk remains a factor.
So let’s break it down by country and see what is happening:
Colombia: Colombia is emerging as an attractive destination for investors.
Indonesia: Indonesia weathered the global financial crisis better than most.
Vietnam: Vietnam has been one of the fastest-growing economies in the world for the past 20 years.
Egypt: Revolution may have put the brakes on the Egyptian economy but analysts expect it to regain its growth trajectory when political stability returns.
Turkey: Turkey has major natural-gas pipeline projects that make it an important energy corridor between Europe and Central Asia.
South Africa: Rising commodity prices, renewed demand in its automotive and chemical industries and spending on the World Cup have helped South Africa resume growth. Many see the nation as a gateway to investment into the rest of Africa.
(I just wish CIVETS rolled off the tongue as easily as BRIC.)
